Cá độ bóng đá số lượng lớn cùng lúc

cá cược thể thao

Nếu mọi khả năng đều cân bằng với nhau thì tỷ lệ dự đoán đúng cá độ bóng đá trung bình chỉ là 33% chứ không phải 50%, bởi trận đấu có đến 3 “cửa” (chủ nhà thắng, đội khách thắng, hòa), chứ không phải 2.

ca do bong da

Thoạt nghe, cứ tưởng đơn giản: Bạn chỉ cần dự đoán kết quả (chủ nhà thắng, đội khách thắng hoặc hòa) trong nhiều trận đấu cùng lúc.

Dự đoán thực tế thấp hơn

Nhưng khả năng choi danh bai truc tuyen tren mang đoán đúng trên thực tế thấp hơn rất nhiều so với cảm giác chung của số đông người chơi cá độ bóng đá. Lấy một ví dụ đơn giản: Bạn chọn ra hai trận cân bằng nhất trong cả vòng đấu và dự đoán cả hai trận ấy đều hòa. Người ta thường mời chào các “kèo” bao gồm 2-4 trận, với tỷ lệ trúng thưởng rất cao.

Tỷ lệ cược “1 ăn 10” thoạt nghe thì cũng hấp dẫn. Khi bạn dự đoán cùng lúc 2 kết quả hòa thì xác suất đoán đúng chỉ là 25% x 25% tức khoảng 6%, tỷ lệ cược trên lý thuyết phải là “1 ăn 16” (trong khi các hãng chỉ ra kèo “1 ăn 10”).

Nhưng theo nguyên tắc xác suất, nhà cái chắc chắn lời to nếu có nhiều người tham gia một “kèo” như vậy. Dự đoán 100 lần như vậy, bạn chỉ có thể đoán đúng 6 lần, theo mức độ trung bình. Trên thực tế, xác suất tương ứng với 3 cửa: Chủ nhà thắng, hòa, đội khách thắng, trong các cặp đấu cân bằng là 3/8 – 2/8 – 3/8.

Tất cả chỉ là vấn đề xác suất

Người chơi cá độ bóng đá không thiệt thòi mới là chuyện lạ. Hãy nhớ kỹ rằng tất cả chỉ là vấn đề xác suất.Ngay từ xác suất trung bình của một trận đấu, đã có thể xảy ra tình huống người chơi cá độ bóng đá bị cảm giác đánh lừa. Tương tự, nếu dang ky happy8 dự đoán 4 trận hòa cùng lúc thì phải chơi đến 256 lần, bạn mới đoán đúng 1 lần.

Có nghĩa, nếu dự đoán đúng 4 trong 10 trận, bạn đã “thành công vang dội”, chứ không phải thất bại như cảm giác nhất thời. Như vậy, “cửa hòa” chỉ có 25%, tương ứng với tỷ lệ cược trên lý thuyết là “1 ăn 4”.

Thật ra, xác suất hòa thường thấp hơn hai xác suất còn lại trong các cặp đấu cân bằng (đơn giản thôi, nếu trận đấu có số bàn thắng là lẻ thì đâu bao giờ hòa). Trong khi đó, tỷ lệ cược cho “kèo” này không bao giờ vượt quá cột mốc “1 ăn 100”.

Nguồn: https://nhacaionline.com/nha-cai-happy8/

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