Cmd368 và 3 công thức trong cách cá độ bóng đá đỉnh cao

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Công thức: Tỷ số chuyên môn

Công thức: bàn thắng trong “tỷ số chuyên môn” bằng (số lần sút đúng hướng khung thành x 2) + số lần sút chệch mục tiêu + số lần được hưởng phạt góc, Cmd368 tất cả chia 10. Đội thắng trên thực tế được cộng thêm 1 bàn thắng (coi như điểm thưởng). Kết quả cuối cùng được dùng như một “tỷ số chuyên môn”, Cmd368 đưa vào bảng xếp hạng tham khảo bên cạnh bảng xếp hạng thực tế đã được biết đến cach ca cuoc bong da.

cmd368

Cmd368 nghĩ người hâm mộ bóng đá nào cũng biết rõ một điều: đôi khi đội chơi hay hơn không phải là đội thắng. Bạn áp đảo trong suốt trận nhưng liên tục sút dội cột, bật xà. Đối phương may mắn ghi bàn và thắng 1-0, nhưng tất cả thừa nhận: bạn mạnh hơn, chơi hay hơn. Bóng đá là vậy. Vấn đề là ở chỗ: thị trường cá cược vẫn xếp bạn vào “kèo trên” nếu bạn gặp lại đối thủ vừa may mắn thắng mình. Tương tự, Cmd368 một đội chỉ thắng 1-0 có thể phải thắng 3-0 hoặc 4-0, nghĩa là mạnh hơn rất nhiều so với đội mà họ vừa thắng 1 bàn. Thế thì, Cmd368 lấy gì để khẳng định đâu là đội mạnh hơn, hoặc đội mạnh hơn rất nhiều lần, bất chấp tỷ số là như thế nào?

Nếu là người hâm mộ trung thành của Serie A hoặc Premiership như Cmd368, bạn sẽ dễ dàng khẳng định Juventus mạnh hơn Empoli, Arsenal mạnh hơn Wigan, bất kể kết quả đối đầu gần nhất giữa các đội ấy. Nhưng nếu dự đoán một trận ở cúp UEFA – nơi có 80 đội đang tranh tài ở vòng 1 và có rất nhiều đội bóng “lạ”, bạn đành bó tay! Tương tự, bạn khó so sánh 2 CLB Thụy Sĩ nếu không thường xuyên theo dõi các đội ấy Cmd368.

Để biết rõ hơn sức mạnh thật sự của các đội bóng, tránh bị “đánh lừa” bởi các kết quả đầy may rủi, Cmd368 nghĩ chúng ta có thể nhìn vào thống kê chuyên môn, có đầy trên internet, sách báo hoặc truyền hình. Bạn chỉ phải thu thập số liệu rồi tính theo công thức mà không phải băn khoăn vì sao có công thức ấy (đã có giới nghiên cứu tính hộ trong vấn đề này).

Ví dụ: Cmd368 Bristol Rovers thắng Luton Town 3-2. Bạn không biết nhiều về các đội này nên đành dò tìm thống kê chuyên môn liên quan đến trận đấu đã diễn ra và thu được số liệu: phạt góc 8-7 (Bristol trước), sút đúng hướng 11-7, sút chệch hướng 7-3. Bạn sẽ tính ra bàn thắng trong “điểm chuyên môn” của Bristol là [(11×2) + 7 + 8]/10 = 3,7 (làm tròn thành 4). Bàn thắng trong “điểm chuyên môn” của Luton là [(7×2) + 3 + 7]10 = 2,4 (làm tròn thành 2). Do Bristol thắng trên thực tế nên được cộng thêm 1 bàn (điểm thưởng). Kết quả cuối cùng: Cmd368 Bristol thắng Luton 5-2 trong “tỷ số chuyên môn”. Với công thức tương tự Cmd368, ta có tỷ số “tỷ số chuyên môn” từ mọi tỷ số thực tương ứng. Các “tỷ số chuyên môn” này được đưa vào bảng xếp hạng riêng (tạm gọi là “bảng xếp hạng chuyên môn”), có giá trị tham khảo bên cạnh bảng xếp hạng chính thống. Vị thứ các đội trong bảng xếp hạng thực và “bảng xếp hạng chuyên môn” có thể khác biệt và đây chính là tác dụng quan trong nhất. Bạn hãy lưu ý những khác biệt ấy của Cmd368 và tự rút ra kết luận.

Công thức: Tỷ số chuyên môn trên sân nhà/sân khách

Như đã nêu ở phần trước Cmd368: kết quả thi đấu trên sân nhà và sân khách của một đội bóng cụ thể có ý nghĩa khác hẳn nhau. Một đội thường chơi hay trên sân đối phương, như Manchester City, chưa chắc sẽ chơi hay trên sân nhà, và đấy là lý do vì sao chúng ta cần có 2 bảng xếp hạng riêng biệt (bảng xếp hạng trên sân nhà/sân khách) để tham khảo trước khi dự đoán. Đấy cũng là cơ sở Cmd368 dẫn đến công thức này. Đã có các “tỷ số chuyên môn” (có thể khác với tỷ số thực) tính từ số liệu chuyên môn của các trận đã diễn ra, chúng ta xếp riêng vào các bảng sân nhà/sân khách của từng đội bóng.

Ví dụ: cũng từ trận Cmd368 Bristol Rovers thắng Luton Town 3-2 nêu trên, chúng ta tính được “tỷ số chuyên môn” là 5-2 nghiêng về Bristol. Kết quả này sẽ chỉ có giá trị đối với các trận sân nhà của Bristol và các trận trên sân đối phương của Luton. Sau đó, chúng ta thống kê 4 (hoặc 6) trận gần nhất của từng đội bóng và có cái nhìn sơ bộ về tương quan lực lượng trước mỗi trận đấu cụ thể, theo công thức: số điểm trên sân nhà của đội chủ nhà – Cmd368 số điểm trên sân đối phương của đội khách. Kết quả dương cho thấy chủ nhà mạnh hơn, kết quả âm cho thấy đội khách mạnh hơn, kết quả bằng hoặc gần bằng không thì trận đấu cân bằng.

Chúng tôi vừa giới thiệu 7 công thức tham khảo trước khi dự đoán. Đấy là những công thức đơn giản nhất mà Cmd368 chia sẻ trong hàng chục công thức đang được các hãng cá cược lớn trên thế giới sử dụng. Giống như dân nghiền cá ngựa, giới hâm mộ bóng đá thích chơi dự đoán thường tự lưu trữ kết quả, thống kê chuyên môn và soạn chương trình trong máy tính cá nhân. Khi cần, chỉ việc gõ vài phím là có thể biết đội nào mạnh trên sân khách, yếu trên sân nhà, đội nào đang có phong độ tốt, đội nào giỏi ghi bàn nhưng chuyên thua ngược… Dĩ nhiên tất cả chỉ là lý thuyết. Trong phần tới, chúng tôi sẽ nói kỹ hơn về kết quả thực tế để thấy rõ công thức nào có giá trị cao nhất trong trường hợp nào.

Công thức: Xếp hạng trên sân nhà/sân khách

Theo nghiên cứu của Cmd368 với City, đấy là đặc điểm hầu như không thay đổi. Mùa này, City hòa M.U tại Old Trafford và thắng 2 trận trên sân đối phương còn lại. Nhưng tại sân nhà, City chỉ thắng 1 trong 3 trận. Với Arsenal, chúng ta có điển hình ngược lại. Vì quá quen thuộc với kích thước sân Highbury (sân bóng nhỏ nhất ở giải ngoại hạng), Arsenal luôn khai thác triệt để ưu thế sân nhà. Mùa trước, Arsenal bị Chelsea bỏ xa 12 điểm và 6 bàn (trong hiệu số bàn thắng bại) trong kết quả chung cuộc Cmd368. Nếu so sánh thành tích trên sân nhà thì Arsenal chỉ kém Chelsea 3 điểm và hơn 6 bàn (trong hiệu số bàn thắng bại).
Đấy là lý do vì sao giới hâm mộ nên chuẩn bị sẵn 2 bảng thành tích sân nhà/sân nhà của các đội liên quan trước khi dự đoán.

Mùa trước, theo nhà cái Cmd368 nếu chỉ tính thành tích thi đấu trên sân nhà thì West Bromwich xếp chót ở Premiership, nhưng cộng cả thành tích trên sân đối phương thì West Bromwich lại xếp trên 3 đội Crystal Palace, Norwich, Southampton. Kết luận hiển nhiên: West Bromwich trụ hạng nhờ thi đấu trên sân đối phương hay hơn các đối thủ chính của họ. Mùa này, West Bromwich thua 2 trong 3 trận trên sân nhà nhưng chỉ thua 1 trong 3 trận trên sân đối phương (và đấy là trận thua Chelsea).

Với nha cai Cmd368 một số trường hợp cụ thể, thi đấu trên sân nhà hay sân khách là chi tiết cực kỳ quan trọng, ảnh hưởng có thể lớn hơn rất nhiều so với những gì bạn hình dung. Điển hình Cmd368 là đội hạng Nhì Sheffield United trong mùa bóng 1997-98. Đội này thắng 16 trong 23 trận sân nhà, đứng thứ 4 (vị trí được đá play-off để thăng hạng). Nhưng chung cuộc thì Sheffield không rớt luôn xuống bảng hạng Ba là mừng, bởi họ chỉ thắng 3 trận trên sân đối phương. Cũng trong mùa ấy, Manchester City sẽ đứng thứ 9 ở Premiership nếu chỉ tính thành tích thi đấu trên sân đối phương. Nhưng City rớt hạng vì đấy là đội có thành tích thi đấu trên sân nhà kém nhất giải cách cá cược bóng đá.

Nguồn: https://nhacaionline.com/nha-cai-cmd368/

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