Dự đoán cho kèo phạt góc

phat goc

Hình thức kèo ngày càng đa dạng trong đó có hình thức kèo phạt góc cũng được rất nhiều nhà cái cá độ đưa ra. Trận đấu sẽ có bao nhiêu quả phạt góc và quả phạt góc đầu tiên sẽ xuất hiện ở thời điểm nào? Hình thức cá cược này đang phát triển mạnh, thu hút khá đông người chơi trong khoảng thời gian gần đây. Tùy theo đặc điểm của đội bóng hoặc của giải đấu, số lần phạt góc được nhà cái “ra kèo” là trên hoặc dưới 10 lần đến trên hoặc dưới 12 lần. Còn về thời điểm xuất hiện pha phạt góc đầu tiên, các nhà cái thường “ra kèo” là “trong 8 phút đầu”.

phat goc

Kinh nghiệm dự đoán phạt góc

Theo kinh nghiệm cá độ bóng đá của một số tay chơi chuyên nghiệp co một kèo không bao giờ nên chọn: Trận đấu không có quả phạt góc nào (tỷ lệ cược thường là 1 ăn 100, hoặc nhiều hơn nữa). Từ khi Premier League ra đời, bóng đá Anh đã có hơn 22.000 trận đấu ở Premier League và các hạng chuyên nghiệp phía dưới, vậy mà chưa có trận nào không có phạt góc.

Trong 2 mùa bóng gần đây, có khoảng 53% số trận ở Premier League có quả phạt góc đầu tiên xuất hiện trước khi phút thứ 8 kết thúc. Như vậy, tỷ lệ xuất hiện quả phạt góc “sớm” là cao hơn xác suất trung bình. Ngoài ra, còn có một cách phân tích khác đối với những ai thích chơi trò dự đoán này. Quy luật là trận đấu càng có nhiều quả phạt góc thì quả phạt góc đầu tiên xuất hiện càng sớm. Giới thống kê chia các trận đấu ở Premier League thành 3 nhóm. Nhóm 1 có số lần phạt góc trung bình là dưới 10,5 lần. Nhóm 2 có số lần phạt góc trung bình từ 10,6 đến 11,5 lần và nhóm 3 có số lần phạt góc trung bình cao hơn 11,5. Kết quả cho thấy: 48% số trận ở nhóm 1 có quả phạt góc đầu tiên xuất hiện trước khi phút thứ 8 kết thúc. Tỷ lệ này ở nhóm 2 tăng lên 53% và ở nhóm 3 là 56%.

Như vậy, vấn đề còn lại chỉ là đoán xem trận đấu sẽ có nhiều hay ít quả phạt góc. Những trận đối đầu trực tiếp trong quá khứ có thể trả lời câu hỏi này, ít nhất là ở mức độ tham khảo. Kinh nghiệm cho thấy: Đội bóng có đẳng cấp càng thấp thì càng dễ lặp lại số lần phạt góc trong quá khứ

Chia nhóm bảng xếp hạng

Nhóm 1: hạng 1-4: dưới 10.5 corners

Nhóm 2: hạng 5-17: trung bình 10.6-11.5 corners

Nhóm 3: hạng 18-20: lớn hơn 11.5 corners

Đó là một phần kinh nghiệm của khi chơi kèo phạt góc chúc người chơi sẽ có rút ra cho mình nhiều kinh nghiệm hơn nữa trong thể loại kèo này.

 

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